- The brain is hardwired to like short-term gratification (leading to quick and easy decisions).
- We tend to dislike social-exclusion behaviour (leading to herd-like decisions).
- Overall, despite our hopes/beliefs that we are logical decision makers, these innate tendencies often cause less-than-rational decisions.
“Seven Sins” of money management:
- Enormous evidence shows investors are hopeless at forecasting, yet it may be at the heart of their investment process.
- Investors are obsessed with information, yet more information doesn’t lead to better decisions, just overconfidence.
- Meetings with company management are overrated; management themselves are likely highly biased.
- Investors typically think they can outsmart everyone else.
- Investors are (increasingly) obsessed with short-term time horizons.
- People like good stories and often enhance them to suit their own biases, while ignoring the boring facts.
- The mind’s default tendency is to believe; innate scepticism is rare, yet advantageous in investing.
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